Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.180207 0.208511 0.239770 0.276849 0.319634 0.367461 0.424994
2025-10-26 0.135266 0.173078 0.219130 0.279337 0.355999 0.450403 0.575598
2025-11-02 0.108804 0.149341 0.202197 0.276148 0.376994 0.509829 0.698357
2025-11-09 0.088928 0.129269 0.184883 0.267128 0.385742 0.550802 0.798404
2025-11-16 0.078590 0.120061 0.180057 0.273142 0.414051 0.619668 0.943231
2025-11-23 0.069394 0.110837 0.173441 0.274833 0.435115 0.679151 1.079970
2025-11-30 0.062576 0.104093 0.169326 0.279202 0.459898 0.745871 1.234270
2025-12-07 0.054928 0.094884 0.160004 0.273753 0.467807 0.786148 1.349871
2025-12-14 0.048919 0.087543 0.152683 0.270407 0.478253 0.830858 1.476758
2025-12-21 0.044916 0.083098 0.149603 0.273710 0.500017 0.896259 1.645594
2025-12-28 0.042827 0.081769 0.151697 0.286215 0.539114 0.995341 1.884508
2026-01-04 0.040361 0.079415 0.151616 0.294589 0.571338 1.085022 2.115373
2026-01-11 0.037833 0.076712 0.150708 0.301538 0.602118 1.176124 2.360977
2026-01-18 0.035033 0.073147 0.147772 0.304238 0.625021 1.254812 2.591670
2026-01-25 0.031883 0.068479 0.142115 0.300766 0.635047 1.309090 2.778950
2026-02-01 0.028469 0.062842 0.133858 0.290945 0.630802 1.334005 2.907927
2026-02-08 0.026954 0.061084 0.133410 0.297494 0.661619 1.433938 3.206337
2026-02-15 0.025170 0.058514 0.130941 0.299334 0.682351 1.514503 3.471120
2026-02-22 0.023787 0.056683 0.129860 0.304091 0.709950 1.612472 3.784953
2026-03-01 0.021731 0.053051 0.124368 0.298159 0.712544 1.655208 3.976974
2026-03-08 0.020038 0.050084 0.120069 0.294516 0.720010 1.709574 4.201864
2026-03-15 0.018972 0.048515 0.118863 0.298112 0.745058 1.807062 4.540390
2026-03-22 0.018592 0.048611 0.121639 0.311727 0.795942 1.970711 5.058515